Foreign Policy

Russia’s Stalled Offensive and Ukraine’s Gains Reveal the High Stakes of Global Tech Warfare

By National Security Desk | March 4, 2026

After months of Russian territorial gains in Ukraine, February marked a turning point with Moscow’s advances sharply declining while Kyiv reclaimed land—a shift deeply influenced by control over critical satellite communications technology.

For years, the brutal conflict in Ukraine has been characterized by grinding, costly battles favoring Russia’s massive manpower advantage. Yet, February 2026 revealed a startling reversal: for the first time since August 2024's daring Ukrainian operation in Kursk, Kyiv regained more territory than Moscow could capture. According to data from the Ukrainian war analysis group DeepState, Russian forces seized only 126 square kilometers in February—less than half their January gains and a fraction of the surges seen at the end of 2024. This stark slowdown signals not just battlefield attrition but deeper fissures within Russia’s military capabilities. How Did Ukraine...

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