Elections

Bolivia’s Upcoming Runoff: Jorge Quiroga Leads Amidst Uncertainty and Shifting Polls

By National Security Desk | October 13, 2025

With Bolivia gearing up for its first-ever presidential runoff, conservative ex-president Jorge Quiroga currently leads centrist Rodrigo Paz Pereira in polls—but voter indecision and skepticism cloud the final outcome.

As Bolivia prepares for a historic second-round presidential election on October 19, recent polls show former conservative president Jorge Tuto Quiroga holding a lead over centrist senator Rodrigo Paz Pereira. This runoff is unprecedented in Bolivia's electoral history, reflecting a political landscape marked by uncertainty and volatility—conditions that carry implications far beyond Bolivia's borders. The last permitted pre-election poll from Ipsos Ciesmori, released on the eve of the campaign silence period, puts Quiroga at 44.9% support compared to Paz's 36.5%. Yet nearly one in ten voters remain undecided, signaling an electorate still searching for clear direction. Another survey by Captura...

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