Economic Policy

Taiwan’s AI Boom Masks Economic Risks and Heightened China Threats

By National Security Desk | February 12, 2026

Taiwan rides the global AI surge with record chip exports and tech growth, but heavy reliance on this sector and escalating Chinese aggression reveal dangerous vulnerabilities for the island—and implications for America’s supply chains.

In the bustling industrial parks of Taipei, optimism surges alongside soaring stock prices and factory expansions tied to artificial intelligence. Yet beneath this high-tech sheen lies a volatile mix of economic imbalance and geopolitical peril that should alarm policymakers in Washington as much as it does investors in Taiwan.

Is Taiwan’s AI Economy Too Dependent to Endure a Bubble Burst?

Taiwan’s chipmaking prowess has undeniably positioned it at the heart of the world’s technological revolution. Companies like TSMC dominate over 90% of advanced semiconductor manufacturing, fueling giants such as Nvidia and Apple. The result: an impressive 8.6% GDP growth rate and booming exports, especially to the U.S., thanks to a trade deal under President Trump that lowered tariffs—a victory for America First economic pragmatism.

But is this relentless growth sustainable? Experts warn that Taiwan’s economy risks collapsing if the current AI frenzy turns out to be just another bubble. C.C. Wei, chairman of TSMC, openly expressed concerns about massive $52-$56 billion investments hinging on uncertain customer demand. History cautions us: tech bubbles can implode swiftly, leaving economies shattered—does Washington grasp what would happen if key nodes in our own supply chain falter?

The danger extends beyond economics. Taiwan exemplifies how national sovereignty is jeopardized when economic dependency meets external threats. China’s increasingly aggressive military exercises near Taiwanese waters serve as stark reminders that Beijing views this vital technological bastion as merely a breakaway province to be reclaimed forcibly if necessary.

Why America Must Secure Its Tech Supply Chain Amid Rising China Hostilities

This intertwining of economic success and geopolitical risk directly impacts American national security interests. Disruptions in Taiwan’s chip production would ripple through U.S. tech industries reliant on these semiconductors for everything from smartphones to defense systems.

Washington must act decisively—not only by supporting diversified manufacturing capacity domestically, but also by safeguarding allies whose prosperity underpins our own technological edge over China. The trade policies championed during the Trump administration are steps in the right direction, reducing barriers while reinforcing strategic cooperation.

However, ensuring long-term stability demands vigilance against complacency toward Taiwan’s vulnerabilities—both economic and strategic. Economic concentration in AI chips may create short-term wealth but risks widening inequality within Taiwanese society itself, mirroring challenges here at home that threaten social cohesion.

The question now is clear: will U.S. policymakers treat Taiwan purely as an export powerhouse or recognize its role as a frontline defender of freedom against authoritarian expansion? For American families relying on affordable technology and secure jobs tied to these supply lines, ignoring these risks invites costly consequences.

How long will Washington delay decisive action to protect these critical interests?