Foreign Policy

Behind the Gaza Ceasefire: Unpacking Washington’s High-Stakes Gamble

By National Security Desk | October 4, 2025

Israel and Hamas teeter on the edge of a ceasefire brokered by Trump’s roadmap—a plan promising hostage releases and temporary calm. But beneath this fragile truce lies serious questions about American interests, regional stability, and long-term security.

The prospect of an Israel-Hamas ceasefire, propelled by a plan crafted in the Oval Office, appears as a rare glimmer of hope amid years of bloodshed. Yet, this fragile agreement — hinging on the release of Israeli hostages in exchange for a halt to Gaza bombings — is more than just a humanitarian pause; it is a high-stakes gamble that demands scrutiny through an America First lens. Is This Peace a Genuine Breakthrough or Just Another Temporary Truce? Hamás’ willingness to return all Israeli captives, alive or dead, and to consider negotiating governance changes in Gaza marks an unprecedented move....

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